If you are moving money toward gold because stocks worry you, count gold-mining shares on the equity side of the decision. Apply September 2026's published returns to the same hypothetical $10,000: bullion-holding GLD ends at $9,150. Gold-equity GDX ends at $8,898. Miners can offer a bigger reward from gold's rise, but owning them does not automatically give your money bullion's role.
GDX's one-year return was higher, however. The opportunity to earn more through miners comes with companies' costs, operations and share prices. Separate money intended for diversification from money intended for additional upside, and a product's gold label is less likely to lead you into a risk you did not choose.
What are you buying to get away from stocks?
An investor's question published October 10 (UTC) combines worries about stocks, Bitcoin and currencies with a decision to move an entire retirement account into a precious-metals mining fund in 2024. It revisits an earlier decision rather than reporting a new transfer. The exact fund is unnamed.
We compare US-listed GLD and GDX as representative structures. GLD primarily holds bullion; GDX holds interests in gold-industry companies. Even inside the sentence “I bought gold because stocks worry me,” money exposed to bullion prices and money exposed to gold-company share prices are different positions.
A higher gold price can improve a mine's revenue prospects. What reaches shareholders passes through costs, sales volumes and capital spending, then through how much of that expectation the share price already reflects. After reading the metal's price, read the company's money once more.
Include the periods when miners earned more
The comparison uses issuers' USD NAV total returns ending September 30, 2026, including all seven common published windows. Total returns reflect distributions reinvested and fund expenses, consistent with GDX’s own filing. One month, three months, year to date and one year are period returns; three, five and ten years are annualized.
| Published comparison window | Bullion: GLD | Gold equities: GDX |
|---|---|---|
| 1 month | −8.50% | −11.02% |
| 3 months | +3.63% | +16.47% |
| Year to date | −3.34% | +2.05% |
| 1 year | +8.74% | +15.85% |
| 3 years, annualized | +30.16% | +49.98% |
| 5 years, annualized | +18.62% | +26.11% |
| 10 years, annualized | +11.74% | +13.84% |
The strongest case for miners is inside the table. Reset a hypothetical $10,000 at the beginning of each comparison window: over one year, GLD ends at $10,874 and GDX at $11,585. GDX also led over three months. The one-year gap is $711 on the same starting amount. Gold-company equities earned more over that window.
A higher return, however, does not establish how much a position protected your stock portfolio. These windows overlap; the table does not measure portfolio co-losses, correlations or maximum drawdowns. Both funds lost money in the September example. Holding gold does not turn a product into a promise to preserve principal.
The dollar examples apply published NAV returns to $10,000. Actual trading prices, transaction costs and investor taxes differ; Korean investors' KRW outcomes also include exchange rates. Annual expense ratios are 0.40% for GLD and 0.51% for GDX. Do not subtract costs already reflected in the fund returns a second time.
Newmont's selling price fell 10%; its unit spread fell 28%
We pair gold miner Newmont's Q1 release and Q2 release using the same definitions. AISC below measures sustaining costs per gold ounce sold after credits for by-product sales.
Price fell $486 while costs rose $592: −486−(+592)=−$1,078. The simple spread shrank faster than the selling price's 9.92% decline. This is a separate company-results example, not a calculation of September's ETF returns.
Favorable silver and copper sales and lower sustaining spending reduced Q1's cost metric. Q2 brought changes in by-product conditions, sustaining spending and costs during Cadia's stoppage after a seismic event. A fixed-cost calculation translating a gold-price increase straight into profit would miss these changes.
The simple spread is neither accounting profit nor free cash flow. Sales volumes, growth investment, taxes and working capital still affect the company's cash. Newmont is about 11% of GDX; royalty and streaming businesses have different cost structures from mine operators. A single company's spread cannot be transferred into the whole ETF's return.
Choose the cost conditions alongside the upside opportunity
If the gold price rises while sales volumes hold and cost growth remains limited, the price-cost gap can expand. Investors seeking that improvement may find a larger return opportunity in gold companies than in bullion itself. GDX's outperformance above is a concrete reason to examine that choice.
The same gold-price outlook can produce different shareholder rewards when company spending and operations differ. Checking only bullion after buying can delay your understanding of why a mining position behaves differently from expectations. Getting gold's direction right and buying a good gold business at a good price are two separate choices.
What could change your view in the next results?
Newmont's next scheduled release follows the US market close on October 22. Its earnings call is October 23 at 06:30 KST.
Pair realized price and by-product AISC again using the same definition, then read sales volumes, sustaining spending and cash flow. If price rises but the unit spread shrinks, examine costs and by-product credits. If the spread expands but cash falls, read volumes and spending timing. Confirming those improvements in filings, then comparing them with the current share price, strengthens the case for seeking miners' additional reward.
Give the next dollar a role before a label
Split your gold-related holdings into exposure to bullion prices and exposure to gold-company equities. Revisit whether miners fit money intended to reduce equity dependence; track costs, operations and valuations for money seeking company upside. Bullion's diversification effect also needs a separate assessment against your own portfolio and horizon.
Can monthly gold leave you more than savings? compares bullion's buying and selling costs. Two ETFs, yet more of the same US equities? looks through product names to add up the holdings' actual risks. Connect these questions before putting the next dollar into the gold product you chose.